Unrealized Duration Mismatch & Instantaneous Digital Run
Sub-Type: Held-to-Maturity Bond MTM Erosion Under Rapid Rate Hikes
Bank locks liquidity into long-duration fixed-rate treasuries without interest-rate swaps. Rapid rate increases quietly evaporate true liquidation capital while book equity appears solvent.
Fundamental Invariant Rules
Engineered Resilience & Mitigation Strategies
Canonical Incident Manifestations (3)
Silicon Valley Bank: $42B Deposit Run & Hidden Held-To-Maturity Capital Erosion
Solvency Buffer_Reserve silently decayed to negative value due to macro interest shifts. Telemetry channel (held-to-maturity accounting) reported nominal solvency. High-speed digital withdrawal shock instantaneously triggered terminal insolvency.
Signature Bank: $18.6B Real-Time Digital Deposit Run & Signet Network Contagion
Real-time 24/7 digital settlement Telemetry_Channel allowed depositors to execute instantaneous liquidity extraction shock on a weekend, exhausting total physical Buffer_Reserve before central bank discount window mechanisms could open.
Credit Suisse: $17B AT1 Bond Wipeout & 72-Hour Emergency UBS Acquisition
Cumulative latent loss events drained equity Buffer_Reserves over multi-year cycle. Macro liquidity shock triggered terminal deposit extraction, forcing regulator Decision_Nodes to execute emergency state consolidation.